La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Matteo Arnaldi v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Predicción 37.71%2.65momio equitativo
EV +5.57%
Ventaja +1.99%
Kelly +3.10%
Crecimiento +0.173%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.83%37.86%37.11%41.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.472.472.8046.51%40.53%40.49%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Visitante)
Predicción 62.29%1.61momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +0.945%
Kelly +2.45%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.07%62.14%62.89%65.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.531.521.6371.43%65.36%65.57%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +5.57%E +1.99%K +3.10%G +0.173% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +3.69%E +1.34%K +2.11%G +0.078% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:58 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 17:57 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +1.05%E +0.392%K +0.625%G +0.007% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +0.673%E +0.252%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +0.673%E +0.252%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.082%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -0.082%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -9.05%E -6.20%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -0.459%E -0.174%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 17:51 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.21%E -0.463%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 17:50 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| GTbets | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Neds | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 17:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 17:53 |
| TAB | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.98%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:46 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 17:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-28 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.328%E -0.205%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.951%E -0.598%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -0.328%E -0.205%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.918%E +0.567%K +1.48%G +0.014% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV +0.295%E +0.183%K +0.483%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV +0.295%E +0.183%K +0.483%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -17.05%E -7.75%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -18.93%E -8.81%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 0.1% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Novig | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 1.7% | 2026-05-28 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |