La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Arnaldi v Stefanos Tsitsipas
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Arnaldi (Casa)
Previsione 37.71%2.65quota equa
EV +5.57%
Vantaggio +1.99%
Kelly +3.10%
Crescita +0.173%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.83%37.86%37.11%41.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.472.472.8046.51%40.53%40.49%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Stefanos Tsitsipas (Trasferta)
Previsione 62.29%1.61quota equa
EV +1.54%
Vantaggio +0.945%
Kelly +2.45%
Crescita +0.038%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.07%62.14%62.89%65.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.531.521.6371.43%65.36%65.57%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +5.57%E +1.99%K +3.10%G +0.173% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +3.69%E +1.34%K +2.11%G +0.078% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:58 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 17:57 |
| NordicBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +1.05%E +0.392%K +0.625%G +0.007% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +0.673%E +0.252%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +0.673%E +0.252%K +0.403%G +0.003% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| BetAnything | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.082%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -0.082%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -9.05%E -6.20%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -0.459%E -0.174%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 17:51 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.21%E -0.463%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 17:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 17:50 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| GTbets | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Neds | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 17:53 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 17:53 |
| TAB | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.98%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:46 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 17:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-28 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.328%E -0.205%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.951%E -0.598%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -0.328%E -0.205%K -0.547%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.918%E +0.567%K +1.48%G +0.014% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV +0.295%E +0.183%K +0.483%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV +0.295%E +0.183%K +0.483%G +0.001% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -17.05%E -7.75%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -18.93%E -8.81%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-28 17:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 0.1% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Novig | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85% | 1.7% | 2026-05-28 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 18:00 |