مدرسة الاحتمالات

Matteo Arnaldi v Stefanos Tsitsipas

البداية: 2026-05-28 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.71%2.65السعر العادل
EV +5.57%
الأفضلية +1.99%
Kelly +3.10%
النمو +0.173%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.83%37.86%37.11%41.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.472.472.8046.51%40.53%40.49%35.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Stefanos Tsitsipas (الضيف)

التنبؤ 62.29%1.61السعر العادل
EV +1.54%
الأفضلية +0.945%
Kelly +2.45%
النمو +0.038%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.07%62.14%62.89%65.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.531.521.6371.43%65.36%65.57%61.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV +5.57%E +1.99%K +3.10%G +0.173%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-28 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +3.69%E +1.34%K +2.11%G +0.078%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 18:00
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 17:58
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 17:57
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.80%E +0.668%K +1.06%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 18:00
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV +1.05%E +0.392%K +0.625%G +0.007%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 17:38
BetOnline.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +0.673%E +0.252%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 17:39
LowVig.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV +0.673%E +0.252%K +0.403%G +0.003%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 17:39
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.082%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 17:38
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -0.082%E -0.031%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -9.05%E -6.20%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 17:58
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -0.459%E -0.174%K -0.280%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 17:51
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.21%E -0.463%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 17:49
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 17:50
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 17:55
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 17:50
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 17:59
MyBookie.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 18:00
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 17:39
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.97%E -0.756%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 17:38
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:39
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 17:39
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 17:53
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 17:53
TAB2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.85%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 17:39
SportsBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.98%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:46
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 17:48
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.56%E -4.37%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.43%E -5.73%K -17.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 17:59
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.74%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.67%E -6.67%K -21.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 17:55
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -6.11%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 17:59
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 18:00
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -7.62%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -12.79%E -9.13%K -31.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.328%E -0.205%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 18:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -0.951%E -0.598%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 17:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.82%E -1.81%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:59
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 17:59
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 18:00
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.80%E -5.27%K -16.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-28 17:59
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 17:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 17:59
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -10.26%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -5.93%E -3.93%K -11.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.69%E -3.06%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 17:59
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -11.39%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.07%E -2.64%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -0.328%E -0.205%K -0.547%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 17:59
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -14.03%E -6.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV +1.54%E +0.945%K +2.45%G +0.038%5.2%2026-05-28 17:59
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.918%E +0.567%K +1.48%G +0.014%6.2%2026-05-28 17:58
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 17:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -15.16%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -5.31%E -3.49%K -10.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-28 17:59
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV +0.295%E +0.183%K +0.483%G +0.001%7.0%2026-05-28 17:59
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -15.92%E -7.14%K -12.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV +0.295%E +0.183%K +0.483%G +0.001%7.0%2026-05-28 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -17.05%E -7.75%K -14.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -2.20%E -1.40%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 17:59
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -18.93%E -8.81%K -16.46%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -3.44%E -2.22%K -6.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-28 17:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%0.1%2026-05-28 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-05-28 18:00
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%1.7%2026-05-28 17:50
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%3.0%2026-05-28 18:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%4.3%2026-05-28 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%6.2%2026-05-28 18:00