Школа коэффициентов

Matteo Arnaldi v Flavio Cobolli

Начало: 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Хозяева)

Прогноз 32.91%3.04справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.32%
Преимущество +1.66%
Kelly +2.42%
Рост +0.129%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.43%32.79%32.95%35.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.652.932.923.2037.74%34.11%34.31%31.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Flavio Cobolli (Гости)

Прогноз 67.09%1.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.38%
Преимущество -0.940%
Kelly -2.94%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.47

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.48%67.21%67.05%69.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.361.421.411.4773.53%70.62%70.92%68.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +5.32%E +1.66%K +2.42%G +0.129%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 07:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.385%E +0.126%K +0.188%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 16:09
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 16:38
DraftKings3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 16:00
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 00:20
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 16:09
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 16:49
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:09
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:09
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:08
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 11:10
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 16:09
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 16:10
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.92%E -0.644%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:30
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 16:28
MyBookie.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 16:29
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-05 16:48
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:49
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 16:28
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 16:09
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 16:10
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:49
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.38%E -0.940%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-05 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-05 16:30
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:29
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:29
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:30
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 16:19
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:40
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:40
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 16:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:09
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:10
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 16:49
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:19
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 16:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 16:30
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.76%E -6.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-05 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 16:30
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 16:28
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 16:40
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-05 16:50
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -7.19%E -2.55%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 16:49
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 16:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 15:59
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -12.78%E -4.82%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 16:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-05 16:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-06-05 16:50
Novig2.91I 34.36%NM 33.71%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.29%1.9%2026-06-05 16:49