Die Wettquotenschule

Matteo Arnaldi v Flavio Cobolli

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Heim)

Prognose 32.91%3.04faire Quote
EV +5.32%
Vorteil +1.66%
Kelly +2.42%
Wachstum +0.129%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.43%32.79%32.95%35.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.652.932.923.2037.74%34.11%34.31%31.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts)

Prognose 67.09%1.49faire Quote
EV -1.38%
Vorteil -0.940%
Kelly -2.94%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.47

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.48%67.21%67.05%69.57%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.361.421.411.4773.53%70.62%70.92%68.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +5.32%E +1.66%K +2.42%G +0.129%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 07:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.385%E +0.126%K +0.188%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 16:09
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 16:38
DraftKings3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 16:00
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 00:20
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 16:09
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 16:49
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:09
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:09
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:08
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 11:10
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 16:09
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 16:10
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.92%E -0.644%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:30
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 16:28
MyBookie.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 16:29
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-05 16:48
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:49
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 16:28
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 16:09
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 16:10
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:49
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.38%E -0.940%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-05 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-05 16:30
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:29
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:29
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:30
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 16:19
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:40
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:40
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 16:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:09
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:10
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 16:49
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:19
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 16:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 16:30
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.76%E -6.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-05 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 16:30
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 16:28
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 16:40
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-05 16:50
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -7.19%E -2.55%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 16:49
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 16:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 15:59
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -12.78%E -4.82%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 16:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-05 16:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-06-05 16:50
Novig2.91I 34.36%NM 33.71%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.29%1.9%2026-06-05 16:49