A Escola das Odds

Matteo Arnaldi v Flavio Cobolli

Início: 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (Local)

Previsão 32.91%3.04odd justa
EV +5.32%
Vantagem +1.66%
Kelly +2.42%
Crescimento +0.129%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.43%32.79%32.95%35.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.932.923.2037.74%34.11%34.31%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Previsão 67.09%1.49odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.940%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.48%67.21%67.05%69.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.421.411.4773.53%70.62%70.92%68.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +5.32%E +1.66%K +2.42%G +0.129%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 07:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.385%E +0.126%K +0.188%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 16:09
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 16:38
DraftKings3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 16:00
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 00:20
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 16:09
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 16:49
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:09
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:09
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:08
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 11:10
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 16:09
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 16:10
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.92%E -0.644%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:30
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 16:28
MyBookie.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 16:29
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-05 16:48
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:49
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 16:28
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 16:09
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 16:10
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:49
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.38%E -0.940%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-05 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-05 16:30
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:29
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:29
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:30
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 16:19
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:40
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:40
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 16:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:09
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:10
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 16:49
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:19
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 16:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 16:30
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.76%E -6.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-05 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 16:30
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 16:28
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 16:40
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-05 16:50
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -7.19%E -2.55%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 16:49
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 16:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 15:59
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -12.78%E -4.82%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 16:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-05 16:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-06-05 16:50
Novig2.91I 34.36%NM 33.71%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.29%1.9%2026-06-05 16:49