Idioma:Português
Matteo Arnaldi v Flavio Cobolli
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Previsão 32.91%3.04odd justa
EV +5.32%
Vantagem +1.66%
Kelly +2.42%
Crescimento +0.129%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.43%32.79%32.95%35.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.932.923.2037.74%34.11%34.31%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)
Previsão 67.09%1.49odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.940%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.47
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.48%67.21%67.05%69.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.421.411.4773.53%70.62%70.92%68.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Matteo Arnaldi (Local): 32.91%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 67.09%. Para Matteo Arnaldi (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.04. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.32%.
Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +5.32%E +1.66%K +2.42%G +0.129% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-05 07:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.385%E +0.126%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-05 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-05 16:38 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-05 16:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-04 00:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 16:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-05 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.92%E -0.644%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-05 16:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-05 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-05 16:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-05 16:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-05 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-05 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-05 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.38%E -0.940%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-05 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-05 16:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-05 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-05 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-05 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 13:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 13:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-05 16:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-05 16:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-05 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-05 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.76%E -6.44%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-05 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-05 16:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-05 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-05 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -7.19%E -2.55%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-05 16:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-05 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 15:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -12.78%E -4.82%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-05 16:49 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-05 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-05 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-05 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-05 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 1.4% | 2026-06-05 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.71% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.29% | 1.9% | 2026-06-05 16:49 |