مدرسة الاحتمالات

Matteo Arnaldi v Flavio Cobolli

البداية: 2026-06-05 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Matteo Arnaldi (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.91%3.04السعر العادل
EV +5.32%
الأفضلية +1.66%
Kelly +2.42%
النمو +0.129%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.43%32.79%32.95%35.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.932.923.2037.74%34.11%34.31%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flavio Cobolli (الضيف)

التنبؤ 67.09%1.49السعر العادل
EV -1.38%
الأفضلية -0.940%
Kelly -2.94%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.47

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.48%67.21%67.05%69.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.421.411.4773.53%70.62%70.92%68.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +5.32%E +1.66%K +2.42%G +0.129%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-05 07:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV +0.385%E +0.126%K +0.188%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 16:09
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-05 16:38
DraftKings3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -0.603%E -0.200%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 16:00
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 00:20
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 16:09
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 16:49
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:09
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:09
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:10
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:08
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 11:10
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 16:09
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.26%E -0.420%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 16:10
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -1.92%E -0.644%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:30
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 32.27%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.73%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 16:28
MyBookie.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -2.58%E -0.871%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 16:29
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-05 16:48
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 16:49
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 16:28
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 16:09
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.91%E -0.985%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 16:10
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.24%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:49
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -3.56%E -1.22%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -1.38%E -0.940%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-05 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-05 16:30
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:29
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:29
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 16:30
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 16:19
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:40
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:40
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.74%E -3.34%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 16:30
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:20
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 16:30
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:09
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:09
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 13:10
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.55%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-05 16:49
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:19
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.88%E -1.69%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 16:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.21%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 16:30
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -5.54%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.76%E -6.44%K -24.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-05 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.39%E -2.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 16:30
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.07%E -2.84%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 16:28
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.41%E -3.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 16:40
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.20%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.42%E -5.38%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-05 16:50
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -7.19%E -2.55%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-05 16:49
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.72%E -1.88%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 16:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.49%E -3.45%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.08%E -4.34%K -15.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-05 15:59
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -12.78%E -4.82%K -7.75%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -2.05%E -1.41%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 16:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-06-05 16:40
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-05 16:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-06-05 16:50
Novig2.91I 34.36%NM 33.71%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.29%1.9%2026-06-05 16:49