Language:English
Mariano Navone v Jenson Brooksby
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prediction 75.72%1.32fair odd
EV +0.705%
Edge +0.530%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%75.67%75.73%80.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.261.251.3384.75%79.57%80.00%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jenson Brooksby (Visit)
Prediction 24.28%4.12fair odd
EV +21.90%
Edge +4.36%
Kelly +5.45%
Growth +1.19%
assuming max odds 5.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.29%24.33%24.27%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.743.605.0232.26%26.72%27.78%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mariano Navone (Local): 75.72%; Jenson Brooksby (Visit): 24.28%. For Jenson Brooksby (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.71%EV -9.14%E -7.62%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.29%EV +21.90%E +4.36%K +5.45%G +1.19% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -10.65%E -9.03%K -59.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +16.55%E +3.45%K +4.36%G +0.721% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -10.65%E -9.03%K -59.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +15.34%E +3.23%K +4.09%G +0.627% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.62%E -6.25%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.20%E +0.753%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.444%E -0.108%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.62%E -6.25%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.14%E -7.62%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.09%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -5.06%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.30%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 12:38 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.73%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.38%E -6.93%K -39.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.73%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 12:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.87%E -5.58%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -11.37%E -3.12%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.01%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.11%E -4.93%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -15.01%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -7.62%E -6.25%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.052%E -0.040%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -0.809%E -0.618%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -6.87%E -5.58%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -18.66%E -5.57%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -0.809%E -0.618%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -19.87%E -6.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.57%E -1.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -19.87%E -6.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +0.705%E +0.530%K +2.14%G +0.015% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -24.73%E -7.98%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 12:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |