L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Mariano Navone v Jenson Brooksby
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mariano Navone (Local)
Prévision 75.72%1.32cote équitable
EV +0.705%
Avantage +0.530%
Kelly +2.14%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%75.67%75.73%80.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.261.251.3384.75%79.57%80.00%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jenson Brooksby (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.28%4.12cote équitable
EV +21.90%
Avantage +4.36%
Kelly +5.45%
Croissance +1.19%
avec la cote maximale 5.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.29%24.33%24.27%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.743.605.0232.26%26.72%27.78%19.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.71%EV -9.14%E -7.62%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.29%EV +21.90%E +4.36%K +5.45%G +1.19% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -10.65%E -9.03%K -59.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +16.55%E +3.45%K +4.36%G +0.721% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -10.65%E -9.03%K -59.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +15.34%E +3.23%K +4.09%G +0.627% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:49 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.62%E -6.25%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.20%E +0.753%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.444%E -0.108%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.62%E -6.25%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.14%E -7.62%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.09%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -5.06%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.30%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 12:38 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.73%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.38%E -6.93%K -39.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.73%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 12:46 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.87%E -5.58%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -11.37%E -3.12%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.01%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.11%E -4.93%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -15.01%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -7.62%E -6.25%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.052%E -0.040%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -0.809%E -0.618%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -6.87%E -5.58%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -18.66%E -5.57%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -0.809%E -0.618%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -19.87%E -6.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.57%E -1.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -19.87%E -6.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +0.705%E +0.530%K +2.14%G +0.015% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -24.73%E -7.98%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 12:48 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Novig | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |