La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Mariano Navone v Jenson Brooksby
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mariano Navone (Casa)
Previsione 75.72%1.32quota equa
EV +0.705%
Vantaggio +0.530%
Kelly +2.14%
Crescita +0.015%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%75.67%75.73%80.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.181.261.251.3384.75%79.57%80.00%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jenson Brooksby (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.28%4.12quota equa
EV +21.90%
Vantaggio +4.36%
Kelly +5.45%
Crescita +1.19%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.02
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.29%24.33%24.27%30.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.743.605.0232.26%26.72%27.78%19.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.71%EV -9.14%E -7.62%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.29%EV +21.90%E +4.36%K +5.45%G +1.19% | 3.3% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -10.65%E -9.03%K -59.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +16.55%E +3.45%K +4.36%G +0.721% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -10.65%E -9.03%K -59.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +15.34%E +3.23%K +4.09%G +0.627% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 12:49 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.62%E -6.25%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.20%E +0.753%K +0.984%G +0.031% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.444%E -0.108%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.62%E -6.25%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.14%E -7.62%K -45.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.87%E -0.718%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 12:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.09%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.63%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.37%EV -5.06%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.30%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 12:38 |
| Caesars | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.73%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.38%E -6.93%K -39.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.73%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 12:46 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.94%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Fliff | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -6.87%E -5.58%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -11.37%E -3.12%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.32%E -1.80%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.35%E -4.28%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.58%E -3.50%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -15.01%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -6.11%E -4.93%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -15.01%E -4.29%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -7.62%E -6.25%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -16.23%E -4.70%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -0.052%E -0.040%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -0.809%E -0.618%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -3.08%E -2.41%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -4.60%E -3.65%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -17.44%E -5.13%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.14%EV -6.87%E -5.58%K -29.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -18.66%E -5.57%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -0.809%E -0.618%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -19.87%E -6.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.57%E -1.21%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -19.87%E -6.02%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +0.705%E +0.530%K +2.14%G +0.015% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -24.73%E -7.98%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 12:48 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |
| Novig | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 12:50 |