Idioma:Português
Mariano Navone v Jakub Mensik
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Mariano Navone (Local)
Previsão 46.93%2.13odd justa
EV -0.510%
Vantagem -0.240%
Kelly -0.455%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.50%46.85%46.97%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.022.002.1251.55%49.48%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Previsão 53.07%1.88odd justa
EV -2.35%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.80%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.15%53.03%55.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.38%56.50%54.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mariano Navone (Local): 46.93%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 53.07%. Para Mariano Navone (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.13. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.12, com valor esperado de -0.510%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -0.510%E -0.240%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.690%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 11:21 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 11:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:27 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:27 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:23 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 11:26 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:27 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 11:28 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 11:27 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.55%E -3.83%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.96%E -4.62%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-27 11:29 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:25 |