La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Mariano Navone v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mariano Navone (Local)
Predicción 46.93%2.13momio equitativo
EV -0.510%
Ventaja -0.240%
Kelly -0.455%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.50%46.85%46.97%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.022.002.1251.55%49.48%50.00%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 53.07%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.15%53.03%55.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.38%56.50%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -0.510%E -0.240%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.690%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 11:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 11:21 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 11:25 |
| GTbets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:27 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:27 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:29 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:23 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betsson | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 11:28 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-27 11:26 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:27 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 11:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 11:27 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.55%E -3.83%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.96%E -4.62%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-27 11:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Novig | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.0% | 2026-05-27 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 11:25 |