Szkoła Kursów

Mariano Navone v Jakub Mensik

Początek: 2026-05-27 11:36 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Mariano Navone (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.93%2.13kurs godziwy
EV -0.510%
Przewaga -0.240%
Kelly -0.455%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.12

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.50%46.85%46.97%48.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.942.022.002.1251.55%49.48%50.00%47.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jakub Mensik (Goście)

Prognoza 53.07%1.88kurs godziwy
EV -2.35%
Przewaga -1.28%
Kelly -2.80%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.84

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.00%53.15%53.03%55.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.38%56.50%54.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -0.510%E -0.240%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:30
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.690%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 11:30
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 11:30
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 11:20
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 11:30
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 11:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:21
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 11:30
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 11:25
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 11:30
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 11:27
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 11:27
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 11:25
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 11:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 11:30
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:29
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:23
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:19
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:28
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 11:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 11:30
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:26
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:27
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 11:30
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 11:28
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 11:27
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.55%E -3.83%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 11:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.96%E -4.62%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 11:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-05-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-05-27 11:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-27 11:30
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-05-27 11:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-05-27 11:25