Die Wettquotenschule

Mariano Navone v Jakub Mensik

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-27 11:36 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Mariano Navone (Heim)

Prognose 46.93%2.13faire Quote
EV -0.510%
Vorteil -0.240%
Kelly -0.455%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.50%46.85%46.97%48.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.942.022.002.1251.55%49.48%50.00%47.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jakub Mensik (Auswärts)

Prognose 53.07%1.88faire Quote
EV -2.35%
Vorteil -1.28%
Kelly -2.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.84

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.00%53.15%53.03%55.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.38%56.50%54.35%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -0.510%E -0.240%K -0.455%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -9.78%E -5.75%K -13.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:30
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.45%E -0.690%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 11:30
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 11:30
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -2.39%E -1.15%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:30
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -2.86%E -1.38%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 11:20
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 11:30
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.33%E -1.61%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 11:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 11:21
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.79%E -1.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 11:30
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 11:25
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -4.26%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -9.25%E -5.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 11:30
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.41%E -1.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 11:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 11:27
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 11:27
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.20%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.00%E -2.80%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 11:25
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.35%E -1.28%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 11:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 11:30
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:29
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:23
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:19
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 11:28
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 11:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 11:30
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.66%E -4.40%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-27 11:26
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:27
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.19%E -4.73%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 11:30
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.07%E -3.43%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 11:28
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -7.08%E -3.58%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 11:27
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -7.55%E -3.83%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 11:30
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 11:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.35%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.13%E -4.07%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.96%E -4.62%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -6.60%E -3.75%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-27 11:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-05-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%0.1%2026-05-27 11:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-27 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-27 11:30
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-05-27 11:30
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-05-27 11:25