Language:English
Karen Khachanov v Jesper De Jong
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prediction 71.47%1.40fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -5.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.39%71.34%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.321.3777.52%75.70%75.76%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jesper De Jong (Visit)
Prediction 28.53%3.50fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.363%
Kelly +0.506%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.61%28.66%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.75%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 71.47%; Jesper De Jong (Visit): 28.53%. For Jesper De Jong (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +1.29%E +0.363%K +0.506%G +0.007% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 14:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +1.29%E +0.363%K +0.506%G +0.007% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-29 14:17 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:18 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-29 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 14:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 14:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 14:17 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-29 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 14:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 14:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 14:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 14:11 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 14:17 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -6.99%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 14:17 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 14:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 14:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -11.26%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-29 14:11 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.40%E -4.80%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 14:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-05-29 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-05-29 14:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38% | 2.0% | 2026-05-29 14:20 |