La scuola delle quote

Karen Khachanov v Jesper De Jong

Inizio: 2026-05-29 14:24 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Karen Khachanov (Casa)

Previsione 71.47%1.40quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -5.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.81%71.39%71.34%73.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.291.321.321.3777.52%75.70%75.76%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jesper De Jong (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.53%3.50quota equa
EV +1.29%
Vantaggio +0.363%
Kelly +0.506%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.93%28.61%28.66%31.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.75%29.41%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +1.29%E +0.363%K +0.506%G +0.007%3.9%2026-05-29 14:18
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +1.29%E +0.363%K +0.506%G +0.007%4.5%2026-05-29 14:05
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:05
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 14:17
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:18
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-29 14:20
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-29 14:19
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 14:18
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 14:20
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 14:06
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 14:17
MyBookie.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 14:18
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 14:18
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:14
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:19
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:11
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:17
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -6.99%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:17
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:19
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:19
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 14:19
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:18
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:20
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -11.26%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 14:19
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 14:11
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.40%E -4.80%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 14:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-05-29 14:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-29 14:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-29 14:19
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%2.0%2026-05-29 14:20