L’École des cotes

Karen Khachanov v Jesper De Jong

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 14:24 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Prévision 71.47%1.40cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -5.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%71.39%71.34%73.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.321.321.3777.52%75.70%75.76%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jesper De Jong (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.53%3.50cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.363%
Kelly +0.506%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%28.61%28.66%31.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.75%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +1.29%E +0.363%K +0.506%G +0.007%3.9%2026-05-29 14:18
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +1.29%E +0.363%K +0.506%G +0.007%4.5%2026-05-29 14:05
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:05
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 14:17
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:18
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-29 14:20
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-29 14:19
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 14:18
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 14:20
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 14:06
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 14:17
MyBookie.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 14:18
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 14:18
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:14
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:19
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:11
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:17
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -6.99%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:17
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:19
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:19
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 14:19
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:18
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:20
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -11.26%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 14:19
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 14:11
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.40%E -4.80%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 14:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-05-29 14:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-29 14:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-29 14:19
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%2.0%2026-05-29 14:20