مدرسة الاحتمالات

Karen Khachanov v Jesper De Jong

البداية: 2026-05-29 14:24 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Karen Khachanov (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.47%1.40السعر العادل
EV -2.09%
الأفضلية -1.52%
Kelly -5.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.81%71.39%71.34%73.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.291.321.321.3777.52%75.70%75.76%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jesper De Jong (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.53%3.50السعر العادل
EV +1.29%
الأفضلية +0.363%
Kelly +0.506%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.93%28.61%28.66%31.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.363.403.5533.33%29.75%29.41%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +1.29%E +0.363%K +0.506%G +0.007%3.9%2026-05-29 14:18
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +1.29%E +0.363%K +0.506%G +0.007%4.5%2026-05-29 14:05
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:05
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.81%E -6.05%K -26.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.137%E -0.039%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-29 14:17
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:18
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -1.56%E -0.453%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.09%E -1.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-29 14:20
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.55%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.45%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-29 14:19
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.42%E -0.708%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 14:18
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 14:20
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 14:06
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.09%E -5.46%K -23.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.880%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 14:17
MyBookie.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 14:19
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 14:18
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 14:18
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:14
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:19
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 14:11
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:17
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.84%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 14:19
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.18%EV -5.66%E -4.29%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.82%EV -6.99%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.23%E -3.16%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:17
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:19
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 14:19
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.38%E -4.87%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 14:19
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:18
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:20
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.52%E -2.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:19
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -11.26%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 14:19
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.95%E -3.72%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 14:11
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -2.80%E -2.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -14.40%E -4.80%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 14:18
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-05-29 14:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-05-29 14:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-29 14:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-29 14:19
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-05-29 14:19
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%2.0%2026-05-29 14:20