StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karen Khachanov v Arthur Gea

Matchstart: 2026-05-24 10:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Karen Khachanov (Hemma)

Prognos 80.30%1.25rättvist odds
EV -1.23%
Fördel -1.00%
Kelly -5.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.23

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.63%80.16%80.36%82.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.121.171.171.2389.29%85.26%85.47%81.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Gea (Borta)

Prognos 19.70%5.08rättvist odds
EV +8.36%
Fördel +1.52%
Kelly +1.86%
Tillväxt +0.155%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.04%19.84%19.64%23.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.814.805.5025.00%20.77%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Karen Khachanov (Hemma): 80.30%; Arthur Gea (Borta): 19.70%. För Arthur Gea (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.08. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.36%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.26%E -8.20%K -71.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +8.36%E +1.52%K +1.86%G +0.155%6.7%2026-05-24 09:19
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.42%E +0.834%K +1.03%G +0.045%4.3%2026-05-24 09:20
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%EV +3.63%E +0.691%K +0.853%G +0.031%3.0%2026-05-24 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.45%E +0.471%K +0.584%G +0.014%4.0%2026-05-24 08:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.45%E +0.471%K +0.584%G +0.014%4.0%2026-05-24 09:00
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-24 08:57
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-24 08:57
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -0.504%E -0.100%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:57
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 09:19
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 09:20
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:53
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 08:58
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.46%E -7.42%K -60.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.08%E -0.419%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 09:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.08%E -0.419%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 09:14
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.30%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV -3.66%E -0.748%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 08:59
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.44%E -0.916%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 09:10
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.80%EV -5.04%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 09:20
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 08:58
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:19
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.40%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.40%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 09:20
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.38%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -8.38%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 09:13
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:00
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -10.07%E -8.99%K -83.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:19
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.31%E -3.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -9.26%E -8.20%K -71.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.31%E -3.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 09:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.30%E -3.29%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:13
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -1.23%E -1.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -14.49%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 08:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -16.27%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.04%E -1.67%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -21.19%E -5.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-05-24 09:20
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-05-24 09:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-05-24 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%3.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-05-24 09:20
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%9.1%2026-05-24 09:20