A Escola das Odds

Karen Khachanov v Arthur Gea

Início: 2026-05-24 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Previsão 80.30%1.25odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -5.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.63%80.16%80.36%82.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.171.171.2389.29%85.26%85.47%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Gea (Visitante)

Previsão 19.70%5.08odd justa
EV +8.36%
Vantagem +1.52%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescimento +0.155%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.04%19.84%19.64%23.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.814.805.5025.00%20.77%20.83%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.26%E -8.20%K -71.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +8.36%E +1.52%K +1.86%G +0.155%6.7%2026-05-24 09:19
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.42%E +0.834%K +1.03%G +0.045%4.3%2026-05-24 09:20
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%EV +3.63%E +0.691%K +0.853%G +0.031%3.0%2026-05-24 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.45%E +0.471%K +0.584%G +0.014%4.0%2026-05-24 08:59
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.45%E +0.471%K +0.584%G +0.014%4.0%2026-05-24 09:00
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-24 08:57
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-24 08:57
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -0.504%E -0.100%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:57
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 09:19
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 09:20
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:53
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:58
MyBookie.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 08:58
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:19
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:00
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.46%E -7.42%K -60.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.08%E -0.419%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 09:14
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.08%E -0.419%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 09:14
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 80.30%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV -3.66%E -0.748%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 08:59
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.44%E -0.916%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 09:10
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.80%EV -5.04%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 09:20
BetAnything1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:00
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:19
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 08:58
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:19
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.40%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.40%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 09:20
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.38%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -8.38%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 09:13
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:00
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -10.07%E -8.99%K -83.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:19
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.31%E -3.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -9.26%E -8.20%K -71.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.31%E -3.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 09:19
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.30%E -3.29%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:13
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -1.23%E -1.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -14.49%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 08:59
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -16.27%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.04%E -1.67%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -21.19%E -5.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-05-24 09:20
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-05-24 09:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-05-24 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%3.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-05-24 09:20
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%9.1%2026-05-24 09:20