مدرسة الاحتمالات

Karen Khachanov v Arthur Gea

البداية: 2026-05-24 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Karen Khachanov (المضيف)

التنبؤ 80.30%1.25السعر العادل
EV -1.23%
الأفضلية -1.00%
Kelly -5.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.63%80.16%80.36%82.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.171.171.2389.29%85.26%85.47%81.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arthur Gea (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.70%5.08السعر العادل
EV +8.36%
الأفضلية +1.52%
Kelly +1.86%
النمو +0.155%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.04%19.84%19.64%23.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.814.805.5025.00%20.77%20.83%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.26%E -8.20%K -71.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +8.36%E +1.52%K +1.86%G +0.155%6.7%2026-05-24 09:19
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.42%E +0.834%K +1.03%G +0.045%4.3%2026-05-24 09:20
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%EV +3.63%E +0.691%K +0.853%G +0.031%3.0%2026-05-24 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.45%E +0.471%K +0.584%G +0.014%4.0%2026-05-24 08:59
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.45%E +0.471%K +0.584%G +0.014%4.0%2026-05-24 09:00
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-24 08:57
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-24 08:57
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -0.504%E -0.100%K -0.124%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:57
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 09:19
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 09:20
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:53
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 08:58
MyBookie.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 08:58
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:19
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 09:00
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.46%E -7.42%K -60.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.08%E -0.419%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 09:14
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.08%E -0.419%K -0.524%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 09:14
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 80.30%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV -3.66%E -0.748%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 08:59
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.44%E -0.916%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 09:10
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.80%EV -5.04%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 09:20
BetAnything1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:00
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:19
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 08:58
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:19
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.40%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.40%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 09:20
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.38%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -8.38%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 09:13
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 09:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:00
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 09:20
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -10.07%E -8.99%K -83.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:19
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.31%E -3.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -9.26%E -8.20%K -71.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.31%E -3.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 09:19
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.30%E -3.29%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:13
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -1.23%E -1.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -14.49%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 08:59
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -16.27%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 09:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.04%E -1.67%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -21.19%E -5.30%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 09:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-05-24 09:20
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-05-24 09:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-05-24 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%3.5%2026-05-24 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-05-24 09:20
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%9.1%2026-05-24 09:20