L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Karen Khachanov v Arthur Gea
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prévision 80.30%1.25cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -5.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%80.16%80.36%82.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.171.171.2389.29%85.26%85.47%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arthur Gea (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.70%5.08cote équitable
EV +8.36%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.155%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.04%19.84%19.64%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.814.805.5025.00%20.77%20.83%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -9.26%E -8.20%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +8.36%E +1.52%K +1.86%G +0.155% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV +4.42%E +0.834%K +1.03%G +0.045% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%EV +3.63%E +0.691%K +0.853%G +0.031% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.45%E +0.471%K +0.584%G +0.014% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 08:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +2.45%E +0.471%K +0.584%G +0.014% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 08:57 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 08:57 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.481%E +0.094%K +0.117%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.19%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.81%EV -0.504%E -0.100%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 08:57 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 08:53 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 08:58 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 08:58 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.46%E -7.42%K -60.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -1.49%E -0.298%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.08%E -0.419%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 09:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.68%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.08%E -0.419%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 09:14 |
| GTbets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.30%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.70%EV -3.66%E -0.748%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 08:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -4.44%E -0.916%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 09:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.20%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.80%EV -5.04%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| BetAnything | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.43%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 08:58 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.41%E -1.35%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.40%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -7.40%E -1.57%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.38%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Fliff | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -7.66%E -6.66%K -51.05%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -8.38%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 09:13 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.05%E -5.17%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.42%EV -10.07%E -8.99%K -83.89%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.37%E -2.04%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.64%E -3.04%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.34%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.25%E -4.45%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.31%E -3.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -9.26%E -8.20%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -13.31%E -3.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -4.45%E -3.74%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -14.30%E -3.29%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:13 |
| 1xBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -1.23%E -1.00%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -14.49%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 08:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.56%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -16.27%E -3.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -6.85%E -5.91%K -42.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -17.25%E -4.11%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.04%E -1.67%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -21.19%E -5.30%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 09:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.86% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90% | 9.1% | 2026-05-24 09:20 |