Language:English
Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Matteo Berrettini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 39.20%2.55fair odd
EV -0.036%
Edge -0.014%
Kelly -0.023%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%39.16%39.22%42.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.432.432.5544.64%41.17%41.15%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visit)
Prediction 60.80%1.64fair odd
EV +0.925%
Edge +0.557%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.44%60.84%60.78%62.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.561.551.6665.79%64.02%64.52%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 39.20%; Matteo Berrettini (Visit): 60.80%. For Matteo Berrettini (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.925%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -12.19%E -5.44%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +0.925%E +0.557%K +1.40%G +0.013% | 4.9% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.60%E -0.639%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-01 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.39%E -0.959%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 12:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 10:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 11:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 09:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-01 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -8.27%E -3.53%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-01 12:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-01 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 14:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-01 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-01 13:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.00%E -0.798%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 12:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.37%E -4.14%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 12:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 12:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-01 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-01 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.036%E -0.014%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 14:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.52% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.48% | 1.0% | 2026-06-01 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-06-01 14:20 |