L’École des cotes

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Matteo Berrettini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-01 14:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 39.20%2.55cote équitable
EV -0.036%
Avantage -0.014%
Kelly -0.023%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.35%39.16%39.22%42.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.242.432.432.5544.64%41.17%41.15%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Matteo Berrettini (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.80%1.64cote équitable
EV +0.925%
Avantage +0.557%
Kelly +1.40%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.44%60.84%60.78%62.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.561.551.6665.79%64.02%64.52%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -12.19%E -5.44%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +0.925%E +0.557%K +1.40%G +0.013%4.9%2026-06-01 14:30
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.60%E -0.639%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-01 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-01 14:30
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-01 13:39
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 14:30
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.39%E -0.959%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-01 14:30
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 12:29
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 14:19
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 12:30
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 10:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 11:40
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 09:08
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 14:19
NordicBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 14:20
Betsson2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 14:20
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -8.27%E -3.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 12:39
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 14:20
SportsBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 14:25
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 14:10
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 14:08
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-01 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.00%E -0.798%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:49
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
MyBookie.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 14:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
DraftKings2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 12:50
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 13:39
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:30
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:29
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 14:20
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.37%E -4.14%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 14:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:49
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 14:30
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 12:49
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 12:50
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 12:50
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-01 12:10
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-01 13:40
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.036%E -0.014%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 14:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Novig2.57I 38.91%NM 38.52%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.48%1.0%2026-06-01 14:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-06-01 14:20