La scuola delle quote

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Matteo Berrettini

Inizio: 2026-06-01 14:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 39.20%2.55quota equa
EV -0.036%
Vantaggio -0.014%
Kelly -0.023%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.35%39.16%39.22%42.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.242.432.432.5544.64%41.17%41.15%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.80%1.64quota equa
EV +0.925%
Vantaggio +0.557%
Kelly +1.40%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.44%60.84%60.78%62.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.561.551.6665.79%64.02%64.52%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -12.19%E -5.44%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +0.925%E +0.557%K +1.40%G +0.013%4.9%2026-06-01 14:30
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.60%E -0.639%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-01 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-01 14:30
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-01 13:39
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 14:30
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.39%E -0.959%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-01 14:30
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 12:29
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 14:19
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 12:30
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 10:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 11:40
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 09:08
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 14:19
NordicBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 14:20
Betsson2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 14:20
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -8.27%E -3.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 12:39
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 14:20
SportsBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 14:25
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 14:10
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 14:08
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-01 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.00%E -0.798%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:49
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
MyBookie.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 14:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
DraftKings2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 12:50
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 13:39
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:30
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:29
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 14:20
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.37%E -4.14%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 14:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:49
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 14:30
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 12:49
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 12:50
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 12:50
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-01 12:10
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-01 13:40
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.036%E -0.014%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 14:28
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Novig2.57I 38.91%NM 38.52%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.48%1.0%2026-06-01 14:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-06-01 14:20