La escuela de los momios

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Matteo Berrettini

Inicio: 2026-06-01 14:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)

Predicción 39.20%2.55momio equitativo
EV -0.036%
Ventaja -0.014%
Kelly -0.023%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.35%39.16%39.22%42.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.242.432.432.5544.64%41.17%41.15%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)

Predicción 60.80%1.64momio equitativo
EV +0.925%
Ventaja +0.557%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.44%60.84%60.78%62.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.561.551.6665.79%64.02%64.52%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -12.19%E -5.44%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV +0.925%E +0.557%K +1.40%G +0.013%4.9%2026-06-01 14:30
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -1.60%E -0.639%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-01 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-01 14:30
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-01 13:39
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.72%E -1.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 14:30
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.39%E -0.959%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-01 14:30
BetAnything2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 12:29
Codere (IT)2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.35%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 14:19
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 12:30
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 10:10
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 11:40
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.33%E -2.09%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 09:08
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:59
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 14:19
NordicBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 14:20
Betsson2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -5.52%E -2.29%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 14:20
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -8.27%E -3.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -3.94%E -2.49%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 12:39
FanDuel2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 14:20
SportsBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.56%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 14:25
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 14:10
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 14:08
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 11:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-01 13:40
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.00%E -0.798%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.15%E -3.30%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:49
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
MyBookie.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 14:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.78%E -1.12%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:50
DraftKings2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.17%E -1.28%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 12:50
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 13:39
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:30
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:29
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 14:20
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.88%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.37%E -4.14%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 14:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:49
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 14:30
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 12:49
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 12:50
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 12:50
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -4.74%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:50
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:50
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-01 12:10
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.70%E -2.82%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.98%E -4.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-01 13:40
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.036%E -0.014%K -0.023%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 14:28
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-01 14:30
Novig2.57I 38.91%NM 38.52%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.48%1.0%2026-06-01 14:30
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-06-01 14:20