Language:English
James Duckworth v Rafael Jodar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
James Duckworth (Local)
Prediction 7.09%14.11fair odd
EV +98.46%
Edge +3.52%
Kelly +3.65%
Growth +3.59%
assuming max odds 28.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.48%7.22%7.28%10.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0013.6813.4728.0011.11%7.31%7.42%3.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visit)
Prediction 92.91%1.08fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -48.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.64%92.78%92.72%96.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.021.0599.01%97.53%97.56%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: James Duckworth (Local): 7.09%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 92.91%. For James Duckworth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.11. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 28.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +98.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +98.46%E +3.52%K +3.65%G +3.59% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 14:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +13.40%E +0.838%K +0.894%G +0.120% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 14:07 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +13.40%E +0.838%K +0.894%G +0.120% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV +9.51%E +0.615%K +0.658%G +0.063% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 15.25I 6.56%NM 6.21%EV +8.09%E +0.530%K +0.568%G +0.046% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.79%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 14:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 14.46I 6.92%NM 6.59%EV +2.49%E +0.172%K +0.185%G +0.005% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.41%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 14:06 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +1.00%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:08 |
| Unibet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 13.95I 7.17%NM 7.00%EV -1.13%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.00%EV -2.44%E -2.33%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.03%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.03%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -23.59%E -2.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -23.59%E -2.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -29.12%E -2.91%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -36.21%E -4.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -36.21%E -4.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-27 14:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33% | 1.8% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Novig◎ | 16.95I 5.90%NM 5.73% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.27% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |