مدرسة الاحتمالات

James Duckworth v Rafael Jodar

البداية: 2026-05-27 14:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

James Duckworth (المضيف)

التنبؤ 7.09%14.11السعر العادل
EV +98.46%
الأفضلية +3.52%
Kelly +3.65%
النمو +3.59%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 28.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
3.48%7.22%7.28%10.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.0013.6813.4728.0011.11%7.31%7.42%3.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rafael Jodar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 92.91%1.08السعر العادل
EV -2.44%
الأفضلية -2.33%
Kelly -48.84%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
89.64%92.78%92.72%96.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.031.021.0599.01%97.53%97.56%95.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +98.46%E +3.52%K +3.65%G +3.59%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-27 14:10
Coolbet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 14:09
Unibet (FR)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 14:04
Winamax (DE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 14:10
Winamax (FR)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 14:10
DraftKings16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +13.40%E +0.838%K +0.894%G +0.120%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 14:07
Unibet (UK)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +13.40%E +0.838%K +0.894%G +0.120%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 14:10
BetAnything15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV +9.51%E +0.615%K +0.658%G +0.063%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:09
Marathon Bet15.25I 6.56%NM 6.21%EV +8.09%E +0.530%K +0.568%G +0.046%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.79%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 14:10
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:05
Betclic (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:08
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 14:04
NetBet (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:04
GTbets14.46I 6.92%NM 6.59%EV +2.49%E +0.172%K +0.185%G +0.005%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.41%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:06
MyBookie.ag14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +1.00%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:08
Unibet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Unibet (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Unibet (NL)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
TABtouch14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Grosvenor14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
LeoVegas14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:05
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
ATG (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Bally Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:06
Svenska Spel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
betPARX14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Hard Rock Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:05
Bet Right14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 14:09
Pinnacle13.95I 7.17%NM 7.00%EV -1.13%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.00%EV -2.44%E -2.33%K -48.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 14:10
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:10
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 14:10
FanDuel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 14:10
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:09
Everygame13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:09
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
NordicBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Betsson13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
theScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Betr (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:09
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:09
PMU (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 14:10
LiveScore Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 14:10
Virgin Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 14:10
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:10
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 14:09
Tipico (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 14:10
BetMGM11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.03%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Caesars11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.03%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:09
LowVig.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -23.59%E -2.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:09
BetOnline.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -23.59%E -2.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -29.12%E -2.91%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:10
TAB9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -36.21%E -4.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 14:09
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -36.21%E -4.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 14:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%0.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-05-27 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-05-27 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-05-27 14:10
Smarkets21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33%1.8%2026-05-27 14:10
Novig16.95I 5.90%NM 5.73%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.27%3.0%2026-05-27 14:10