L’École des cotesLangue:Français
James Duckworth v Rafael Jodar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
James Duckworth (Local)
Prévision 7.09%14.11cote équitable
EV +98.46%
Avantage +3.52%
Kelly +3.65%
Croissance +3.59%
avec la cote maximale 28.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.48%7.22%7.28%10.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0013.6813.4728.0011.11%7.31%7.42%3.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)
Prévision 92.91%1.08cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -48.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.64%92.78%92.72%96.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.021.0599.01%97.53%97.56%95.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +98.46%E +3.52%K +3.65%G +3.59% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Coolbet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 14:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| DraftKings | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +13.40%E +0.838%K +0.894%G +0.120% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 14:07 |
| Unibet (UK) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +13.40%E +0.838%K +0.894%G +0.120% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| BetAnything | 15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV +9.51%E +0.615%K +0.658%G +0.063% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 15.25I 6.56%NM 6.21%EV +8.09%E +0.530%K +0.568%G +0.046% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.79%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:08 |
| Bovada | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 14:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:04 |
| GTbets | 14.46I 6.92%NM 6.59%EV +2.49%E +0.172%K +0.185%G +0.005% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.41%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 14:06 |
| MyBookie.ag | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +1.00%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:08 |
| Unibet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| TABtouch | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Grosvenor | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| LeoVegas | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:05 |
| Casumo | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Bally Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:06 |
| Svenska Spel | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| betPARX | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 14:05 |
| Bet Right | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Pinnacle | 13.95I 7.17%NM 7.00%EV -1.13%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.00%EV -2.44%E -2.33%K -48.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Paddy Power | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| BetRivers | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| FanDuel | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Everygame | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| 888sport | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Fanatics | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| NordicBet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betsson | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| William Hill | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| theScore Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Neds | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Coral | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betway | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| BetMGM | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.03%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Caesars | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.03%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -23.59%E -2.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -23.59%E -2.19%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -29.12%E -2.91%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| TAB | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -36.21%E -4.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 14:09 |
| Bet Victor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -36.21%E -4.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-27 14:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 0.7% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Smarkets | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33% | 1.8% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |
| Novig | 16.95I 5.90%NM 5.73% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.27% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 14:10 |