A Escola das Odds

James Duckworth v Rafael Jodar

Início: 2026-05-27 14:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

James Duckworth (Local)

Previsão 7.09%14.11odd justa
EV +98.46%
Vantagem +3.52%
Kelly +3.65%
Crescimento +3.59%

pressupondo odds máximas de 28.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.48%7.22%7.28%10.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
9.0013.6813.4728.0011.11%7.31%7.42%3.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rafael Jodar (Visitante)

Previsão 92.91%1.08odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -2.33%
Kelly -48.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
89.64%92.78%92.72%96.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.011.031.021.0599.01%97.53%97.56%95.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +98.46%E +3.52%K +3.65%G +3.59%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-27 14:10
Coolbet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 14:09
Unibet (FR)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 14:04
Winamax (DE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 14:10
Winamax (FR)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +20.49%E +1.21%K +1.28%G +0.262%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 14:10
DraftKings16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +13.40%E +0.838%K +0.894%G +0.120%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 14:07
Unibet (UK)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +13.40%E +0.838%K +0.894%G +0.120%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 14:10
BetAnything15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV +9.51%E +0.615%K +0.658%G +0.063%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:09
Marathon Bet15.25I 6.56%NM 6.21%EV +8.09%E +0.530%K +0.568%G +0.046%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.79%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 14:10
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:05
Betclic (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:08
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 14:04
NetBet (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +6.32%E +0.421%K +0.451%G +0.028%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:04
GTbets14.46I 6.92%NM 6.59%EV +2.49%E +0.172%K +0.185%G +0.005%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.41%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:06
MyBookie.ag14.25I 7.02%NM 6.68%EV +1.00%E +0.070%K +0.076%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.32%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:08
Unibet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Unibet (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Unibet (NL)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
TABtouch14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Grosvenor14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
LeoVegas14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:05
Casumo14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
ATG (SE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Bally Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:06
Svenska Spel14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
betPARX14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Hard Rock Bet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 14:05
Bet Right14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -0.772%E -0.055%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 14:09
Pinnacle13.95I 7.17%NM 7.00%EV -1.13%E -0.081%K -0.087%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.00%EV -2.44%E -2.33%K -48.84%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 14:10
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:10
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 14:10
FanDuel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 14:10
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:09
Everygame13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:09
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
NordicBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Betsson13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
William Hill13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
theScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -7.86%E -0.605%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Betr (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:09
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:09
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:09
PMU (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 14:10
LiveScore Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 14:10
Virgin Bet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -11.40%E -0.912%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -6.16%E -6.10%K -615.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 14:10
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:10
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 14:09
Tipico (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -14.95%E -1.25%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.23%E -5.13%K -261.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 14:10
BetMGM11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.03%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:10
Caesars11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -22.03%E -2.00%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:09
LowVig.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -23.59%E -2.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:09
BetOnline.ag10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -23.59%E -2.19%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -29.12%E -2.91%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:10
TAB9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -36.21%E -4.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.37%E -3.24%K -84.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 14:09
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -36.21%E -4.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.30%E -4.18%K -143.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 14:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%0.7%2026-05-27 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-05-27 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-05-27 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-05-27 14:10
Smarkets21.01I 4.76%NM 4.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.33%1.8%2026-05-27 14:10
Novig16.95I 5.90%NM 5.73%1.03I 97.09%NM 94.27%3.0%2026-05-27 14:10