Language:English
Hugo Gaston v Gael Monfils
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hugo Gaston (Local)
Prediction 46.15%2.17fair odd
EV +1.54%
Edge +0.700%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%46.85%45.91%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.002.002.2055.56%50.02%50.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gael Monfils (Visit)
Prediction 53.85%1.86fair odd
EV +7.69%
Edge +3.85%
Kelly +7.69%
Growth +0.592%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%53.15%54.09%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.791.772.0060.24%55.92%56.50%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hugo Gaston (Local): 46.15%; Gael Monfils (Visit): 53.85%. For Gael Monfils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.54%E -8.49%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.69%E +3.85%K +7.69%G +0.592% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -16.92%E -9.40%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +5.00%E +2.56%K +5.26%G +0.263% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.85%E +1.49%K +3.13%G +0.089% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -12.31%E -6.48%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +2.31%E +1.21%K +2.56%G +0.059% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +0.691%E +0.370%K +0.795%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.691%E +0.370%K +0.795%G +0.005% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.76%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.76%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -14.61%E -7.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -2.00%E -1.10%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -2.54%E -1.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 18:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -7.23%E -3.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 07:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.69%E -0.794%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -16.00%E -8.79%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.23%E -0.575%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.23%E -0.575%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 17:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.54%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.46%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.39%E -4.29%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.54%E +0.700%K +1.28%G +0.020% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.54%E +0.700%K +1.28%G +0.020% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +0.155%E +0.071%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.54%E -4.87%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.62%E -6.40%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 1.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 18:38 |