La scuola delle quote

Hugo Gaston v Gael Monfils

Inizio: 2026-05-25 19:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hugo Gaston (Casa)

Previsione 46.15%2.17quota equa
EV +1.54%
Vantaggio +0.700%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.020%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%46.85%45.91%52.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.002.002.2055.56%50.02%50.00%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gael Monfils (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.85%1.86quota equa
EV +7.69%
Vantaggio +3.85%
Kelly +7.69%
Crescita +0.592%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%53.15%54.09%56.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.791.772.0060.24%55.92%56.50%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.54%E -8.49%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.69%E +3.85%K +7.69%G +0.592%4.6%2026-05-25 18:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -16.92%E -9.40%K -21.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +5.00%E +2.56%K +5.26%G +0.263%6.8%2026-05-25 18:39
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.85%E +1.49%K +3.13%G +0.089%4.7%2026-05-25 18:34
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -12.31%E -6.48%K -13.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +2.31%E +1.21%K +2.56%G +0.059%5.3%2026-05-25 18:38
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +0.691%E +0.370%K +0.795%G +0.005%5.8%2026-05-25 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.691%E +0.370%K +0.795%G +0.005%7.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 18:40
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 18:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:40
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -14.61%E -7.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -2.00%E -1.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -2.54%E -1.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 18:36
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -7.23%E -3.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 07:50
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 18:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 18:40
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.69%E -0.794%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 18:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:30
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:30
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -16.00%E -8.79%K -19.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 18:40
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 16:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 16:50
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 18:00
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 18:40
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.23%E -0.575%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 18:20
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.23%E -0.575%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 18:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 17:14
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.54%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 17:40
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 16:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 18:40
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 18:40
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 18:10
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:20
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 18:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 18:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.46%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.39%E -4.29%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 17:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.54%E +0.700%K +1.28%G +0.020%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.54%E +0.700%K +1.28%G +0.020%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 18:19
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +0.155%E +0.071%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.54%E -4.87%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.62%E -6.40%K -16.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-05-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%1.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%6.4%2026-05-25 18:38