مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hugo Gaston v Gael Monfils

البداية: 2026-05-25 19:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hugo Gaston (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.15%2.17السعر العادل
EV +1.54%
الأفضلية +0.700%
Kelly +1.28%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.15%46.85%45.91%52.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.002.002.2055.56%50.02%50.00%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Gael Monfils (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.85%1.86السعر العادل
EV +7.69%
الأفضلية +3.85%
Kelly +7.69%
النمو +0.592%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.78%53.15%54.09%56.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.791.772.0060.24%55.92%56.50%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.54%E -8.49%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.69%E +3.85%K +7.69%G +0.592%4.6%2026-05-25 18:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -16.92%E -9.40%K -21.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +5.00%E +2.56%K +5.26%G +0.263%6.8%2026-05-25 18:39
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.85%E +1.49%K +3.13%G +0.089%4.7%2026-05-25 18:34
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -12.31%E -6.48%K -13.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +2.31%E +1.21%K +2.56%G +0.059%5.3%2026-05-25 18:38
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +0.691%E +0.370%K +0.795%G +0.005%5.8%2026-05-25 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.691%E +0.370%K +0.795%G +0.005%7.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.76%K -14.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 18:40
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 18:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 09:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 18:40
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -14.61%E -7.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -2.00%E -1.10%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -2.54%E -1.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 18:36
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -7.23%E -3.60%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 07:50
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 18:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 18:40
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.69%E -0.794%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-25 18:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:30
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:30
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -16.00%E -8.79%K -19.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 18:40
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 16:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 16:50
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 18:00
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 18:40
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 16:50
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.23%E -0.575%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 18:20
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.23%E -0.575%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 18:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 17:14
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.54%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 17:40
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 16:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 18:40
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 18:40
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 18:10
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 18:20
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 18:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 18:40
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 18:40
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.46%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.39%E -4.29%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 17:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 18:40
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.54%E +0.700%K +1.28%G +0.020%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.54%E +0.700%K +1.28%G +0.020%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 18:19
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +0.155%E +0.071%K +0.133%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.54%E -4.87%K -9.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.62%E -6.40%K -16.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 18:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-05-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%1.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%6.4%2026-05-25 18:38