La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hugo Gaston v Gael Monfils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hugo Gaston (Local)
Predicción 46.15%2.17momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +0.700%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%46.85%45.91%52.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.002.002.2055.56%50.02%50.00%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gael Monfils (Visitante)
Predicción 53.85%1.86momio equitativo
EV +7.69%
Ventaja +3.85%
Kelly +7.69%
Crecimiento +0.592%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%53.15%54.09%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.791.772.0060.24%55.92%56.50%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.54%E -8.49%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.69%E +3.85%K +7.69%G +0.592% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -16.92%E -9.40%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +5.00%E +2.56%K +5.26%G +0.263% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.85%E +1.49%K +3.13%G +0.089% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 18:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -12.31%E -6.48%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +2.31%E +1.21%K +2.56%G +0.059% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:38 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV +1.23%E +0.654%K +1.40%G +0.017% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV +0.691%E +0.370%K +0.795%G +0.005% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.691%E +0.370%K +0.795%G +0.005% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.76%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -12.77%E -6.76%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -0.386%E -0.208%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.00%E -5.13%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.85%E -6.20%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -1.46%E -0.799%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -14.61%E -7.90%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -2.00%E -1.10%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -13.23%E -7.04%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -2.54%E -1.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 18:36 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -7.23%E -3.60%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 07:50 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.08%E -1.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.69%E -0.794%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.85%E -2.87%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -16.00%E -8.79%K -19.51%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -4.15%E -2.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -13.69%E -7.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -4.69%E -2.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.61%E -1.24%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.23%E -2.97%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.23%E -0.575%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.23%E -0.575%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 17:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -3.54%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.77%E -3.30%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.31%E -3.63%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.38%E -2.63%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.85%E -3.96%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -4.46%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -7.39%E -4.29%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.92%E -4.63%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +1.54%E +0.700%K +1.28%G +0.020% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.69%E -3.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.46%E -4.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.54%E +0.700%K +1.28%G +0.020% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +0.155%E +0.071%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.08%E -6.03%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.54%E -4.87%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.62%E -6.40%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 1.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Novig | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 18:38 |