Language:English
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Novak Djokovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local)
Prediction 12.89%7.76fair odd
EV +16.00%
Edge +1.78%
Kelly +2.00%
Growth +0.320%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.71%12.98%12.64%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.707.437.509.0017.54%13.46%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Novak Djokovic (Visit)
Prediction 87.11%1.15fair odd
EV -0.693%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.33%87.02%87.36%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.081.1495.24%92.06%92.17%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local): 12.89%; Novak Djokovic (Visit): 87.11%. For Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.76. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +16.00%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.320% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 18:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +16.00%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.320% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 8.56I 11.68%NM 11.11%EV +10.33%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.141% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.89%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.56%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.122% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +9.56%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.122% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +6.33%E +0.768%K +0.874%G +0.055% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +5.69%E +0.694%K +0.790%G +0.045% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.76%EV +5.43%E +0.664%K +0.757%G +0.041% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.24%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +4.40%E +0.543%K +0.620%G +0.027% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-24 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:18 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.534%E +0.068%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.755%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.755%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 18:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 18:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.82%EV -3.59%E -0.480%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.18%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 18:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.35%EV -3.98%E -0.534%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.65%EV -8.53%E -8.13%K -170.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -5.65%E -0.772%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -5.65%E -0.772%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -6.56%E -0.904%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -2.44%E -2.17%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.44%E -2.17%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 18:28 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.00%E -1.93%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-24 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -13.00%E -1.93%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -13.64%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 18:18 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -8.53%E -8.13%K -170.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -16.87%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -26.53%E -4.65%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -0.693%E -0.608%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 18:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.40% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.60% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 18:30 |