L’École des cotes

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Novak Djokovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 19:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local)

Prévision 12.89%7.76cote équitable
EV +16.00%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +2.00%
Croissance +0.320%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.71%12.98%12.64%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.707.437.509.0017.54%13.46%13.33%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Novak Djokovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 87.11%1.15cote équitable
EV -0.693%
Avantage -0.608%
Kelly -4.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.33%87.02%87.36%89.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.091.081.1495.24%92.06%92.17%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +16.00%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.320%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 18:13
Unibet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +16.00%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.320%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 18:20
MyBookie.ag8.56I 11.68%NM 11.11%EV +10.33%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.141%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.89%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Betclic (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.56%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.122%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +9.56%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.122%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:20
NetBet (FR)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +6.33%E +0.768%K +0.874%G +0.055%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:30
FanDuel8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +5.69%E +0.694%K +0.790%G +0.045%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Pinnacle8.18I 12.22%NM 11.76%EV +5.43%E +0.664%K +0.757%G +0.041%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.24%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 18:20
GTbets8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +4.40%E +0.543%K +0.620%G +0.027%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 18:15
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:18
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Codere (IT)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.534%E +0.068%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 18:19
DraftKings7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.755%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:30
BetAnything7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.755%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:14
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:09
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:19
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:19
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:14
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:14
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:14
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
1xBet7.48I 13.37%NM 12.82%EV -3.59%E -0.480%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.18%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 18:29
Fliff7.45I 13.42%NM 12.35%EV -3.98%E -0.534%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.65%EV -8.53%E -8.13%K -170.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:30
BetOnline.ag7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -5.65%E -0.772%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:30
LowVig.ag7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -5.65%E -0.772%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -6.56%E -0.904%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -2.44%E -2.17%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.44%E -2.17%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:30
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:20
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:28
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:30
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
PlayUp6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.00%E -1.93%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -13.00%E -1.93%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 18:30
Fanatics6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -13.64%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:30
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Betsson6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 18:30
NordicBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 18:30
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:18
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -8.53%E -8.13%K -170.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 18:30
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -16.87%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -26.53%E -4.65%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -0.693%E -0.608%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Novig8.55I 11.70%NM 11.40%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.60%2.6%2026-05-24 18:30