مدرسة الاحتمالات

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Novak Djokovic

البداية: 2026-05-24 19:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (المضيف)

التنبؤ 12.89%7.76السعر العادل
EV +16.00%
الأفضلية +1.78%
Kelly +2.00%
النمو +0.320%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.71%12.98%12.64%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.707.437.509.0017.54%13.46%13.33%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Novak Djokovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 87.11%1.15السعر العادل
EV -0.693%
الأفضلية -0.608%
Kelly -4.95%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
83.33%87.02%87.36%89.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.051.091.081.1495.24%92.06%92.17%87.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +16.00%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.320%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 18:13
Unibet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +16.00%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.320%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 18:20
MyBookie.ag8.56I 11.68%NM 11.11%EV +10.33%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.141%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.89%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Betclic (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.56%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.122%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +9.56%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.122%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:20
NetBet (FR)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +6.33%E +0.768%K +0.874%G +0.055%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:30
FanDuel8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +5.69%E +0.694%K +0.790%G +0.045%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Pinnacle8.18I 12.22%NM 11.76%EV +5.43%E +0.664%K +0.757%G +0.041%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.24%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 18:20
GTbets8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +4.40%E +0.543%K +0.620%G +0.027%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 18:15
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:18
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Codere (IT)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.534%E +0.068%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 18:19
DraftKings7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.755%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:30
BetAnything7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.755%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:14
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:09
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:19
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:19
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:14
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:14
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:14
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
1xBet7.48I 13.37%NM 12.82%EV -3.59%E -0.480%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.18%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 18:29
Fliff7.45I 13.42%NM 12.35%EV -3.98%E -0.534%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.65%EV -8.53%E -8.13%K -170.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:30
BetOnline.ag7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -5.65%E -0.772%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:30
LowVig.ag7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -5.65%E -0.772%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -6.56%E -0.904%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -2.44%E -2.17%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.44%E -2.17%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:30
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:20
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:28
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:30
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
PlayUp6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.00%E -1.93%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -13.00%E -1.93%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 18:30
Fanatics6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -13.64%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:30
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Betsson6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 18:30
NordicBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 18:30
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:18
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -8.53%E -8.13%K -170.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 18:30
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -16.87%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -26.53%E -4.65%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -0.693%E -0.608%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Novig8.55I 11.70%NM 11.40%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.60%2.6%2026-05-24 18:30