A Escola das Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Novak Djokovic

Início: 2026-05-24 19:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local)

Previsão 12.89%7.76odd justa
EV +16.00%
Vantagem +1.78%
Kelly +2.00%
Crescimento +0.320%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.71%12.98%12.64%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.707.437.509.0017.54%13.46%13.33%11.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Novak Djokovic (Visitante)

Previsão 87.11%1.15odd justa
EV -0.693%
Vantagem -0.608%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.33%87.02%87.36%89.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.051.091.081.1495.24%92.06%92.17%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +16.00%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.320%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 18:13
Unibet (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +16.00%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.320%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 18:20
MyBookie.ag8.56I 11.68%NM 11.11%EV +10.33%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.141%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.89%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Betclic (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.56%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.122%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 18:20
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +9.56%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.122%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:20
NetBet (FR)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +6.33%E +0.768%K +0.874%G +0.055%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 18:30
FanDuel8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +5.69%E +0.694%K +0.790%G +0.045%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Pinnacle8.18I 12.22%NM 11.76%EV +5.43%E +0.664%K +0.757%G +0.041%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.24%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 18:20
GTbets8.10I 12.35%NM 11.96%EV +4.40%E +0.543%K +0.620%G +0.027%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.04%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 18:15
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:18
Bovada8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.11%E +0.389%K +0.445%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Codere (IT)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.534%E +0.068%K +0.079%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 18:19
DraftKings7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.755%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 18:30
BetAnything7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.755%E -0.098%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:14
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:09
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Hard Rock Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:19
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:19
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 18:20
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:14
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:20
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:14
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 18:14
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.33%E -0.444%K -0.513%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.66%E -7.23%K -127.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
1xBet7.48I 13.37%NM 12.82%EV -3.59%E -0.480%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.18%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 18:29
Fliff7.45I 13.42%NM 12.35%EV -3.98%E -0.534%K -0.617%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.65%EV -8.53%E -8.13%K -170.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 18:30
BetOnline.ag7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -5.65%E -0.772%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:30
LowVig.ag7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -5.65%E -0.772%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV -6.56%E -0.904%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -2.44%E -2.17%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.44%E -2.17%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:30
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:20
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:20
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:28
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 18:30
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.78%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-24 18:30
PlayUp6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.00%E -1.93%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -13.00%E -1.93%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.79%E -6.35%K -97.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 18:30
Fanatics6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -13.64%E -2.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 18:30
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 18:30
Betsson6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 18:30
NordicBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.18%E -3.80%K -41.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 18:30
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.05%E -4.63%K -56.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.92%E -5.48%K -74.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 18:18
PMU (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.22%E -2.50%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -8.53%E -8.13%K -170.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 18:30
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -16.87%E -2.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -3.31%E -2.98%K -30.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 18:30
Marathon Bet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -26.53%E -4.65%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -0.693%E -0.608%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 18:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-24 18:30
Novig8.55I 11.70%NM 11.40%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.60%2.6%2026-05-24 18:30