L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Francisco Comesana v Luciano Darderi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Francisco Comesana (Local)
Prévision 25.15%3.98cote équitable
EV +13.15%
Avantage +2.92%
Kelly +3.76%
Croissance +0.494%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.63%24.94%25.74%29.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.763.654.5031.25%26.57%27.40%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Luciano Darderi (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.85%1.34cote équitable
EV +0.305%
Avantage +0.228%
Kelly +0.898%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 1.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.64%75.06%74.26%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.261.271.3486.96%79.18%78.43%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +8.12%E +1.89%K +2.46%G +0.200% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -10.17%E -8.48%K -50.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.87%E +1.62%K +2.11%G +0.145% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +5.61%E +1.34%K +1.75%G +0.098% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.93%E -6.45%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV +4.60%E +1.11%K +1.46%G +0.067% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.18%EV -7.93%E -6.45%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Fliff | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -10.92%E -9.18%K -57.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -13.92%E -12.10%K -92.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 15:21 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.43%E -5.15%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 15:27 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -8.97%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 15:21 |
| Pinnacle | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%EV +0.305%E +0.228%K +0.898%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.43%E -5.15%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -11.24%E -3.18%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 15:15 |
| BetAnything | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.44%E -2.66%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 15:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.25%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 15:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -15.76%E -4.71%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.19%E -0.903%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -15.76%E -4.71%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.19%E -0.903%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.02%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.443%E -0.333%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:25 |
| Caesars | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -17.02%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -19.54%E -6.10%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -0.443%E -0.333%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Novig | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |