Die Wettquotenschule

Francisco Comesana v Luciano Darderi

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-28 16:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Francisco Comesana (Heim)

Prognose 25.15%3.98faire Quote
EV +13.15%
Vorteil +2.92%
Kelly +3.76%
Wachstum +0.494%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.63%24.94%25.74%29.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.763.654.5031.25%26.57%27.40%22.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Luciano Darderi (Auswärts)

Prognose 74.85%1.34faire Quote
EV +0.305%
Vorteil +0.228%
Kelly +0.898%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.64%75.06%74.26%79.37%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.151.261.271.3486.96%79.18%78.43%74.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 15:29
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 15:29
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 15:29
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +8.12%E +1.89%K +2.46%G +0.200%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -10.17%E -8.48%K -50.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 15:29
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.87%E +1.62%K +2.11%G +0.145%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 15:30
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +5.61%E +1.34%K +1.75%G +0.098%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.93%E -6.45%K -34.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 15:29
DraftKings4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV +4.60%E +1.11%K +1.46%G +0.067%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.18%EV -7.93%E -6.45%K -34.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 15:29
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 15:29
Fliff4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -10.92%E -9.18%K -57.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 15:30
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 15:30
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 15:29
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 15:30
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-28 15:29
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -13.92%E -12.10%K -92.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-28 15:29
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 15:29
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-28 15:29
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 15:30
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 15:30
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 15:21
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.43%E -5.15%K -25.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 15:30
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 15:29
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 15:29
BetOnline.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 15:30
LowVig.ag3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 15:27
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -8.97%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 15:21
Pinnacle3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%EV +0.305%E +0.228%K +0.898%G +0.003%2.3%2026-05-28 15:30
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 15:29
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.43%E -5.15%K -25.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 15:30
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 15:28
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -11.24%E -3.18%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 15:28
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 15:15
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 15:24
MyBookie.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 15:28
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.44%E -2.66%K -11.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 15:15
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.25%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 15:28
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 15:28
Betclic (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 15:26
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -15.76%E -4.71%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.19%E -0.903%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:24
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -15.76%E -4.71%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.19%E -0.903%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 15:24
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.02%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.443%E -0.333%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 15:25
Caesars3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -17.02%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 15:28
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -19.54%E -6.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -0.443%E -0.333%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 15:24
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%0.3%2026-05-28 15:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%0.3%2026-05-28 15:29
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-28 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-05-28 15:30
Novig4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46%2.5%2026-05-28 15:29
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%3.7%2026-05-28 15:29