مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Francisco Comesana v Luciano Darderi
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Francisco Comesana (المضيف)
التنبؤ 25.15%3.98السعر العادل
EV +13.15%
الأفضلية +2.92%
Kelly +3.76%
النمو +0.494%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.63%24.94%25.74%29.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.763.654.5031.25%26.57%27.40%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Luciano Darderi (الضيف)
التنبؤ 74.85%1.34السعر العادل
EV +0.305%
الأفضلية +0.228%
Kelly +0.898%
النمو +0.003%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.34
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.64%75.06%74.26%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.261.271.3486.96%79.18%78.43%74.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +8.12%E +1.89%K +2.46%G +0.200% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -10.17%E -8.48%K -50.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.87%E +1.62%K +2.11%G +0.145% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +5.61%E +1.34%K +1.75%G +0.098% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.93%E -6.45%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV +4.60%E +1.11%K +1.46%G +0.067% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.18%EV -7.93%E -6.45%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Fliff | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -10.92%E -9.18%K -57.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -13.92%E -12.10%K -92.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 15:21 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.43%E -5.15%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 15:27 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -8.97%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 15:21 |
| Pinnacle | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%EV +0.305%E +0.228%K +0.898%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.43%E -5.15%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -11.24%E -3.18%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 15:15 |
| BetAnything | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.44%E -2.66%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 15:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.25%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 15:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -15.76%E -4.71%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.19%E -0.903%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -15.76%E -4.71%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.19%E -0.903%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.02%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.443%E -0.333%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:25 |
| Caesars | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -17.02%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -19.54%E -6.10%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -0.443%E -0.333%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Novig | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |