La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Comesana v Luciano Darderi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Comesana (Local)
Predicción 25.15%3.98momio equitativo
EV +13.15%
Ventaja +2.92%
Kelly +3.76%
Crecimiento +0.494%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.63%24.94%25.74%29.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.763.654.5031.25%26.57%27.40%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luciano Darderi (Visitante)
Predicción 74.85%1.34momio equitativo
EV +0.305%
Ventaja +0.228%
Kelly +0.898%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.64%75.06%74.26%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.261.271.3486.96%79.18%78.43%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +13.15%E +2.92%K +3.76%G +0.494% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +8.12%E +1.89%K +2.46%G +0.200% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -10.17%E -8.48%K -50.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.87%E +1.62%K +2.11%G +0.145% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +5.61%E +1.34%K +1.75%G +0.098% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -7.93%E -6.45%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.82%EV +4.60%E +1.11%K +1.46%G +0.067% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.18%EV -7.93%E -6.45%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| NordicBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Fliff | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV +3.10%E +0.755%K +0.998%G +0.031% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -10.92%E -9.18%K -57.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -12.42%E -10.62%K -73.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.33%EV +0.581%E +0.145%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -13.92%E -12.10%K -92.78%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.68%E -7.11%K -39.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 15:21 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.96%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.43%E -5.15%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 15:27 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -8.97%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 15:21 |
| Pinnacle | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%EV -9.23%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%EV +0.305%E +0.228%K +0.898%G +0.003% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.93%E -3.89%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.43%E -5.15%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.73%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -11.24%E -3.18%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 15:15 |
| BetAnything | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.44%E -2.66%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 15:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.25%E -3.84%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.69%E -2.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.19%E -3.27%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 15:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -15.76%E -4.71%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.19%E -0.903%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
| Neds | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -15.76%E -4.71%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -1.19%E -0.903%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -17.02%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.443%E -0.333%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 15:25 |
| Caesars | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -17.02%E -5.16%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -1.94%E -1.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 15:28 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -19.54%E -6.10%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -0.443%E -0.333%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 15:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-05-28 15:30 |
| Novig | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.54% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.46% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 15:29 |