Language:English
Francisco Cerundolo v Zachary Svajda
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 88.38%1.13fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -27.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.53%88.23%88.35%89.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.98%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zachary Svajda (Visit)
Prediction 11.62%8.61fair odd
EV +4.54%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.568%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.45%11.77%11.65%14.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.108.259.0015.38%12.35%12.12%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francisco Cerundolo (Local): 88.38%; Zachary Svajda (Visit): 11.62%. For Zachary Svajda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.61. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.08%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 8.89I 11.25%NM 10.92%EV +3.27%E +0.367%K +0.414%G +0.014% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -0.103%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -2.43%E -0.289%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -2.43%E -0.289%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 08:57 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -3.59%E -0.432%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.42%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.17I 12.24%NM 11.58%EV -5.10%E -0.624%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.96%E -0.868%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 08:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -7.65%E -0.963%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -8.47%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -8.47%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.98%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.98%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -10.56%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -11.72%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.78%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -16.37%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 08:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 08:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -24.50%E -3.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |