L’École des cotes

Francisco Cerundolo v Zachary Svajda

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 09:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 88.38%1.13cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -27.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.53%88.23%88.35%89.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.98%92.59%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zachary Svajda (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.62%8.61cote équitable
EV +4.54%
Avantage +0.505%
Kelly +0.568%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.45%11.77%11.65%14.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.508.108.259.0015.38%12.35%12.12%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%2.9%2026-05-30 09:00
William Hill1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%5.5%2026-05-30 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-05-30 08:59
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 89.08%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%8.89I 11.25%NM 10.92%EV +3.27%E +0.367%K +0.414%G +0.014%3.0%2026-05-30 09:00
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.138%G +0.001%4.1%2026-05-30 08:59
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -0.103%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
BetRivers1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 09:00
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -2.43%E -0.289%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -2.43%E -0.289%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 08:57
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -3.59%E -0.432%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 09:00
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 08:59
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 88.42%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.17I 12.24%NM 11.58%EV -5.10%E -0.624%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 08:59
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.96%E -0.868%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 09:00
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 09:00
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 08:58
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 09:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 08:59
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 09:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 09:00
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -7.65%E -0.963%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -8.47%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -8.47%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.98%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 08:59
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.98%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 08:59
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -10.56%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 08:59
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -11.72%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 08:59
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 08:59
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 09:00
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.78%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 08:59
theScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -16.37%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 09:00
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 08:55
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 09:00
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 08:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -24.50%E -3.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%0.4%2026-05-30 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-30 09:00
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-30 09:00
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00%9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00%1.0%2026-05-30 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-05-30 09:00
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-05-30 09:00