La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Zachary Svajda
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 88.38%1.13momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -27.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.53%88.23%88.35%89.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.98%92.59%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zachary Svajda (Visitante)
Predicción 11.62%8.61momio equitativo
EV +4.54%
Ventaja +0.505%
Kelly +0.568%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.45%11.77%11.65%14.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.108.259.0015.38%12.35%12.12%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| William Hill | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.08%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 8.89I 11.25%NM 10.92%EV +3.27%E +0.367%K +0.414%G +0.014% | 3.0% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -0.103%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Casumo | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| betPARX | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -2.43%E -0.289%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -2.43%E -0.289%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-30 08:57 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -3.59%E -0.432%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| GTbets | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.42%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.17I 12.24%NM 11.58%EV -5.10%E -0.624%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.96%E -0.868%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Betway | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Bovada | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 08:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -7.65%E -0.963%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -8.47%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -8.47%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Betsson | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.98%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.98%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -10.56%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -11.72%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Neds | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Everygame | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.78%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 08:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -16.37%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Caesars | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 08:55 |
| TAB | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 08:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -24.50%E -3.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Novig | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 09:00 |