La scuola delle quote

Francisco Cerundolo v Zachary Svajda

Inizio: 2026-05-30 09:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 88.38%1.13quota equa
EV -2.78%
Vantaggio -2.53%
Kelly -27.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
85.53%88.23%88.35%89.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.98%92.59%90.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zachary Svajda (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.62%8.61quota equa
EV +4.54%
Vantaggio +0.505%
Kelly +0.568%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.45%11.77%11.65%14.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.508.108.259.0015.38%12.35%12.12%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%2.9%2026-05-30 09:00
William Hill1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%5.5%2026-05-30 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +4.54%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%6.3%2026-05-30 08:59
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 89.08%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%8.89I 11.25%NM 10.92%EV +3.27%E +0.367%K +0.414%G +0.014%3.0%2026-05-30 09:00
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.06%E +0.122%K +0.138%G +0.001%4.1%2026-05-30 08:59
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -0.103%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
BetRivers1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 09:00
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 08:59
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.169%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 09:00
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -2.43%E -0.289%K -0.328%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.79%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.21%EV -2.43%E -0.289%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 08:57
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV -3.59%E -0.432%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 09:00
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 08:59
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 88.42%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.17I 12.24%NM 11.58%EV -5.10%E -0.624%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 08:59
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.96%E -0.868%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 09:00
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 09:00
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 08:58
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 09:00
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 08:59
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 09:00
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 09:00
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -7.65%E -0.963%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -8.47%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -8.47%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 08:59
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.98%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 08:59
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.98%E -1.29%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-30 08:59
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -10.56%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 08:59
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -11.72%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 08:59
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 08:59
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 09:00
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 08:59
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.78%E -2.18%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 08:59
theScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -16.37%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 09:00
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 08:55
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 09:00
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 08:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -2.78%E -2.53%K -27.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -24.50%E -3.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 09:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%0.4%2026-05-30 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-30 09:00
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-05-30 09:00
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 90.00%9.90I 10.10%NM 10.00%1.0%2026-05-30 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-05-30 09:00
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-05-30 09:00