语言:简体中文
Frances Tiafoe v Matteo Arnaldi
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Frances Tiafoe (主队)
预测 48.80%2.05公平赔率
EV +0.523%
优势 +0.254%
Kelly +0.494%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 2.06
博彩公司预测分布
46.35%48.87%48.81%51.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.941.932.0654.64%51.64%51.81%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
Matteo Arnaldi (客队)
预测 51.20%1.95公平赔率
EV -1.18%
优势 -0.611%
Kelly -1.27%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.93
博彩公司预测分布
48.67%51.13%51.19%53.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.861.851.9356.50%53.71%54.05%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Frances Tiafoe (主队)：48.80%；Matteo Arnaldi (客队)：51.20%。 对于“Frances Tiafoe (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.05。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.06，对应+0.523%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +0.523%E +0.254%K +0.494%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -8.86%E -4.98%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.43%E -0.707%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.43%E -0.707%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 17:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.881%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.881%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.11%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.11%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |