La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Frances Tiafoe v Matteo Arnaldi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Frances Tiafoe (Casa)
Previsione 48.80%2.05quota equa
EV +0.523%
Vantaggio +0.254%
Kelly +0.494%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.35%48.87%48.81%51.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.941.932.0654.64%51.64%51.81%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta)
Previsione 51.20%1.95quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.611%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.67%51.13%51.19%53.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.861.851.9356.50%53.71%54.05%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +0.523%E +0.254%K +0.494%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -8.86%E -4.98%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.43%E -0.707%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.43%E -0.707%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 17:10 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 16:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 17:28 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.881%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.881%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.11%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.11%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Novig | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |