L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Frances Tiafoe v Matteo Arnaldi
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Prévision 48.80%2.05cote équitable
EV +0.523%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.494%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 2.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.35%48.87%48.81%51.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.932.0654.64%51.64%51.81%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.20%1.95cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.611%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.67%51.13%51.19%53.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.861.851.9356.50%53.71%54.05%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +0.523%E +0.254%K +0.494%G +0.003% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -8.86%E -4.98%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.43%E -0.707%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.43%E -0.707%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-01 17:10 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-01 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 16:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-01 17:28 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-01 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-01 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.881%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.881%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| GTbets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-01 17:39 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.11%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.11%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-01 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 0.3% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Novig | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 1.7% | 2026-06-01 17:40 |