مدرسة الاحتمالات

Frances Tiafoe v Matteo Arnaldi

البداية: 2026-06-01 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.80%2.05السعر العادل
EV +0.523%
الأفضلية +0.254%
Kelly +0.494%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.35%48.87%48.81%51.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.941.932.0654.64%51.64%51.81%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Matteo Arnaldi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 51.20%1.95السعر العادل
EV -1.18%
الأفضلية -0.611%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.67%51.13%51.19%53.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.771.861.851.9356.50%53.71%54.05%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +0.523%E +0.254%K +0.494%G +0.003%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -8.86%E -4.98%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 17:33
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.034%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-01 17:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.43%E -0.707%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.43%E -0.707%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.81%E -3.74%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 17:10
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.40%E -1.20%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 17:30
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 17:39
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 17:30
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 17:20
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 17:39
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 17:39
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:00
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:39
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:40
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:30
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:39
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 16:59
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:30
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:00
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 17:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.84%E -2.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 17:28
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 17:00
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 16:55
DraftKings1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 17:30
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:00
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-01 17:40
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-01 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-01 17:40
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-01 17:40
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-01 17:40
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-01 17:40
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.881%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 17:00
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.69%E -0.881%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 17:00
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 17:00
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 17:00
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 17:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.28%E -2.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 17:00
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 17:39
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 17:40
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 17:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 17:00
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 17:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-01 17:00
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.84%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-01 17:40
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-01 17:39
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-01 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:40
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.83%K -8.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 17:40
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.11%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 17:40
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.77%E -4.11%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.23%E -1.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 17:40
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.39%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 17:40
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -1.18%E -0.611%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 17:00
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.70%E -5.85%K -12.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-01 17:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-06-01 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-06-01 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-06-01 17:40
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-01 17:40
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-01 17:40
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-06-01 17:40